Nutroots® Celebrate Another Moral Victory

Regarding the GOP victory in California’s 50th district, Chris Bowers of MyDD:

In 2004, Busby lost the CA-50 by 22.0%. Today, it looks like she will lose by around 4.5%. And that was with the NRCC spending $4.5M on the race. If Republicans want to spin losing 18 points after spending $4.5M of committee money as a good thing, go for it. After all, spin is basically why they spent so much money on this race. By blowing their wad in a solidly Republican district, they wanted to change the media narrative on the election in their favor. It will probably work, given how subservient and generally inaccurate the media tends to be when it comes to Republicans and elections. In reality, for a Republican candidate to pull 49.5% of the vote in a district with 44.5% Republican registration is shocking. Given those numbers, Bilbray probably managed all of 20% of the vote among independents.

Yes, well, that’s all fine and good – and yet this is the very district vacated by Duke Cunningham. Nowhere is ‘the culture of corruption’ meme going to be stronger than here – and it wasn’t enough.

The Bilbray victory also points to immigration as a smart strategy, in California, at least…

13 comments to Nutroots® Celebrate Another Moral Victory

  • Yay! Kos is now, what, 0-20?

  • dmac

    Reminds me of the famous Monty Python skit in the “Holy Grail” movie, regarding the duel with the Black Knight:

    King Arthur: “Now stand aside, worthy adversary.”
    Black Knight: ‘Tis but a scratch.
    Arthur: A SCRATCH? Your arm’s off!
    Black Knight: No it isn’t!
    Arthur: Well what’s that then? (pointing to the arm lying on the ground)
    Black Knight: I’ve had worse.
    Arthur: You LIAR!
    Black Knight: Come on, you pansy!

  • megapotamus

    The Dead Parrot is also instructive with the Lefty barkers standing in for Michael Palin and the Dems for the bird. That makes me John Cleese.

    There is much to love in this brief paragraph. The fundamental lethality it exposes is this malign (for the Left) fantasy that the media is holding them back with their slavish devotion to Bushery. Hoss, obviously you do not know it but the media has been holding you UP electorally for 40 years. As Evan Thomas famously said, LMB is worth 15 points at the polls for the Dems. Correcting for this, if we can take the longtime editor for Newsweek as an expert, we can look back to see that there would have been nearly NO Dem electoral success at the national level pre-Reagan to date absent this thumb on the Left of the scale. Man oh Manoshevitz, how I love to hear these denunciations! The Lefties, in alienating establishment Dems (as with the un-off the record Kerry call) and undermining the crapulent MSM that is their most powerful ally are reducing themselves to a rump of LaRouchian proportions. Not fast enough of course but progress is progress.

  • jpe

    he Dead Parrot is also instructive with the Lefty barkers standing in for Michael Palin and the Dems for the bird. That makes me John Cleese.

    Doesn’t talking about who would be what in political versions of Monty Python just make you a giant dork? Squared?

  • Dennis

    If coolness requires you can’t enjoy Monty Python, sign me up for Dork Camp.

  • A Loss is a Win in Donkland

    If Bowers wishes to claim moral victories, that’s surely his prerogative. If he was as astute as he thinks he is, he may want to take a step back and look at what this means with regard to the November elections and the Donks chances.

  • by the way Brian Bilbray is no world beater. He is certainly not the best the GOP has to offer and he still won by 4.5% in a special election where the Dems were having a primary for their gubernatorial candidate and a Dem pet project prop 82 (pre school for all for free by taxing the rich) and the GOP had nothing else but this district election to show up for.

    Does anyone have the turn out numbers? I would bet it was very very low, and that more than anything is why this race was close.

    In politics there is no such thing as a moral victory. You either win or you loose.

  • I’ve been looking for the numbers, unsuccessfully, but a number of articles have said it was low…

  • [...] UPDATE: Here’s a roundup of others blogging as of 2:00 Central on Wednesday. Decision ‘08 on California’s District 50, and again, this time with feeling! For one of his earlier, accurate prognositcations on the same race, click here. [...]

  • topsecretk9

    This is pretty funny:

    Report From the 50th
    By Marc Ash,

    Wed Jun 7th, 2006 at 09:43:12 AM EDT :: Midterms 2006

    In addition to being Truthout’s Executive Director, I also happen to live in California’s 50th Congressional district. First, let me say that Francine Busby did VERY well by local standards. Let me also say that she got the support of a lot of local Republicans to do it.

    One factor that helped Billbray was the highly televised massive immigration demonstrations – particularly in Los Angeles. That played directly into Billbray’s appeal to the fears of local white voters.

    Some national news services are spinning this as an indicator of things to come in November. Sure, if the Republicans can focus all of their resources in one wealthy, heavily Republican (nearly 2-1) enclave 60 miles from the Mexican border, then they will do well in November. But if they have to compete in districts where the pre-existing balance is not massively tilted in their favor, and losing large numbers of disaffected Republicans will matter, then they’ll probably need a new war on someone to hold power.

    You can believe that, if Republican voters nationwide express the same discontentment in November that they expressed here, you’re looking at a Democratic landslide in November.

    Of course this is the same guy sticking by his exclusive explosive Karl Rove indictment that apparently happened a month ago. He wrote this recent update:

    The Continued Interest in the Rove Indictment Story
    By Marc Ash,

    Sat Jun 3rd, 2006 at 09:08:26 AM EDT :: Fitzgerald Investigation
    (321 comments)

    We are still getting a high volume of email inquiries on our Rove indictment story from May 13, 2006. We greatly appreciate your interest, and are well aware of the right of all Americans to know what is happening here.

    So again, for the record: We stand by the story. TO’s staff is treating this story as our highest priority and will be following up with additional information as it becomes available.

    Clearly the question is: “If Karl Rove has been indicted, why has there been no official announcement?” Right now we have only general indicators as to why an announcement might not be made when an indictment has been returned. And even though these indicators do exist, we need to more clearly understand exactly what is happening in this case before we can report on them.

    This a unique situation, and frankly a stressful one. We would like to thank all of those who have offered their support during the course of this ordeal. We fully intend to press on.

    Marc Ash, Executive Director – t r u t h o u t

    Delusion, you just can’t make up.

  • [...] Me, earlier today: …[T]his is the very district vacated by Duke Cunningham. Nowhere is ‘the culture of corruption’ meme going to be stronger than here – and it wasn’t enough. [...]

  • Sean P

    Ugly & Mark: Turnout was a bit south of 30 per cent of registered voters statewide, although it theoretically may have been higher in San Diego given the high profile of this race.

    Also, looking at raw votes the primary candidates received (California is a closed primary state), it is pretty clear that the Democrats showed up in greater numbers than their percentage of the statewide electorate, probably for exactly the reasons Ugly American noted.

Leave a Reply

 

 

 

You can use these HTML tags

<a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>